The upcoming August edition of The American Lawyer will feature an article on the innovators of Big Law over the past 50 years. Now, you may initially find it to be an oxymoron to place the word “Innovator” in the same sentence as “Big Law”, but that’s another discussion for another time. What caught my eye was the category of “Outside Influence” and the names and types of companies that were on the list.

The biggest thing that stood out to me was there were two names listed from Pangea3, the Legal Process Outsourcing firm out of New York, Dallas, Mumbai, and Delhi. Although Pangea3 was gobbled up by Thomson Reuters, it still seems to be building momentum in the legal industry as a major alternative to traditional law firms, and its growth over the past three plus years has been very strong.

In addition to the Pangea3 duo, Axiom landed a spot on the Outside Influence list with its 1,000+ person firm with its own twist on how “Big Law” can be conducted during times of flat demand and low traditional law firm revenues.

The late Jerome Rubin, creative mind behind Lexis was also on the list. The whole movement of technology and legal information has probably been one of the greatest influences on the way lawyers conduct business. Of course, it also brought along ideas like billing back clients for the costs… but again, another story for another day.

One of the entries on this list caught me a little off-guard, and at first I thought was a little gratuitous, was the listing of The American Lawyer’s Steven Brill, but then I immediately remembered that the whole AmLaw 100 compilation was the (at least in my opinion) impetuous for the rush to become billion dollar, 1,000+ attorney, Profits Per Partner driven law firms. Without this driver, would we even be talking about the Death of Big Law at all??

David Lat from Above the Law is a shoe-in for Outside Influencer. His online tabloid of the folies of lawyers, especially BigLaw lawyers, has been one of the most popular resources during the hard times of the past five years. ATL is the TMZ of BigLaw, and although many lawyers look down their noses at online tabloid, none of these lawyers ever wants to be mentioned on it.

One of the biggest, and maybe most under-rated on the list is Robert Banks Sr. of the American Corporate Counsel Association. Just as Above the Law scares BigLaw lawyers, perhaps the ACC scares them more. With the ACC throwing out creative programs like the ACC Value Challenge, the association has become a valued resource for Corporate Counsel to bounce ideas off of each other, and to compare notes on how they handle the business of dealing with their outside counsel, specifically Big Law firms. Knowledge like this is slowly putting GC’s in better positions to negotiate with large firms on better rates, better work, and better results (at least financially speaking.) In a time when GCs are constantly being asked to cut outside legal spend, the ACC platform is one of the most valuable resources they have.

There are more on the list, including Steven Bochco for his show L.A. Law, and I’ve put out the press release below. I look forward to reading the full article when the August edition of The American Lawyer arrives in my in-box.

The American Lawyer Honors Top Big Law Innovators of Last 50 Years

 NEW YORK – July 30, 2013 – ALM’s The American Lawyer has chosen The Top 50 Innovators in Big Law in the Last 50 Years and details their innovations in its August issue and online at americanlawyer.com. The winners, picked for their contributions in the categories of Big Ideas, Law Firm Values, Outsiders’ Influence, The Work, and Business of Law, will be honored at a reception in New York City on October 10th.

“Big Law is notorious for its hidebound habits, but over the last 50 years a few dozen men and women have had an outsize impact on the profession,” wrote Robin Sparkman, Editor in Chief of The American Lawyer. “Our research and reporting teams spent six months looking for the people whose ideas, policies, and practices have left an indelible mark on the legal industry.”

The innovators are:

Big Ideas

  • Russell Baker, Baker & McKenzie
  • Ralph Baxter, Orrick, Herrington & Sutcliffe
  • Jerome Cohen, Coudert Brothers
  • Allen Holmes, Jones Day
  • Wang Junfeng, King & Wood Mallesons
  • Peter Kalis, K&L Gates
  • Young Moo Kim, Kim & Chang
  • W. James MacIntosh, Morgan. Lewis & Bockius
  • Owen Nee Jr., Coudert Brothers
  • Regina Pisa, Goodwin Procter
  • John Quinn, Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan
  • Ralph Savarese, Howrey
  • Clinton Stevenson, Latham & Watkins

Law Firm Values

  • Hillary Rodham Clinton, ABA Commission on Women in the Profession
  • Esther Lardent, Pro Bono Institute
  • Jonathan Lippman, New York State Chief Judge
  • Robert MacCrate, ABA Task Force on Law Schools and The Profession
  • David Morley, Allen & Overy
  • Roderick Palmore, Leadership Council on Legal Diversity
  • Thomas Sager, E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company
  • Howard Westwood, Covington & Burling
  • Keith Wetmore, Morrison & Foerster

Outsiders’ Influence

  • Robert Banks Sr., American Corporate Counsel Association
  • Steven Bochco, L.A. Law
  • Steven Brill, The American Lawyer
  • Mark Chandler, Cisco Systems, Inc.
  • Sir David Clementi, The Clementi Report
  • Mark Harris, Axiom
  • Ben Heineman Jr., General Electric Company
  • Sanjay Kamlani, Pangea3
  • David Lat, Above the Law
  • Hugh McLernon, IMF (Australia) Ltd.
  • David Perla, Pangea3
  • Marla Persky, Baxter Healthcare Corporation
  • Jerome Rubin, LexisNexis
  • Amy Schulman, Pfizer Inc.
  • John Walker, IMF (Australia) Ltd.
  • Earle Yaffa, Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom

The Work

  • Richard Beattie, Simpson Thacher & Bartlett
  • Thomas Boggs Jr., Patton Boggs
  • H. Rodgin Cohen, Sullivan & Cromwell
  • Kirk Davenport, Latham & Watkins
  • Robert Fiske, Davis Polk & Wardwell
  • Joseph Flom, Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom
  • Jack Levin, Kirkland & Ellis
  • Martin Lipton, Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz
  • Harvey Miller, Weil, Gotshal & Manges
  • Charles Ruff, Covington & Burling

Business of Law

  • David Boies, Boies, Schiller & Flexner
  • Andrew Grech, Slater & Gordon
  • Scott Green, Pepper Hamilton
  • Simon Harper, Berwin Leighton Paisner
  • Stephen Hopkins, Eversheds
  • Sir Nigel Knowles, DLA Piper
  • Peter Martyr, Norton Rose
  • Diana Newcombe, Eversheds
  • Raymond Niro, Niro, Haller & Niro
  • Larry Sonsini, Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati

About ALM

ALM is a global leader in specialized business news and information. Trusted reporting delivered through innovative technology is the hallmark of ALM’s award-winning media properties, which include Law.com (www.law.com), The American Lawyer, Corporate Counsel, The National Law Journal and The New York Law Journal. Headquartered in New York City with 16 offices worldwide, ALM brands have been serving their markets since 1843. For more information, visit www.alm.com.

 

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 (This is part 2 of a 4 part series. You can download the entire series here.)

In the midst of the very same economic turmoil that set Law Firms spinning in 2007, a number of medical care professional organizations came together to craft the Patient Centered Medical Home (PCMH).  The PCMH is part manifesto, part best-practice guidelines, designed to put patients at the center of their own medical care. I believe the use of the word “home” in this case muddles the meaning, but it’s intended to be less off-putting and more inviting to patients than the words “Medical Practice”.  The PCMH model, is an attempt to re-engineer the practice of medicine from the unholy mess that naturally evolved between the interactions of hospitals, doctors, government agencies, and insurance companies in the late 20th century, into an efficient 21st century medical care machine, with patient well-being as its primary focus.

There are four areas that the PCMH addresses:

Team-based Primary Care is about doctors sharing the responsibility for patient primary care with “nurses, care coordinators, patient educators, clinical pharmacists, social workers, behavioral health specialists, and other team members.”(1)  Historically, doctors have been very proprietary with patient access, refusing to allow other doctors, or especially non-doctors, to treat their patients. In a PCMH, data and records are openly shared (within appropriate regulatory guidelines) and primary patient care is a group effort.

Active Patient Involvement is making patients active participants in their medical care, rather than passive recipients of treatment.  This requires the help of the larger team to educate and work with the patient to arrive at the best course of action.

Evidence-based Practice Improvement means applying the scientific method to common medical procedures, which sounds obvious, but has not always been the case.  Doctors often believe that the way they have always done something is the best way to do it.  Practice improvement challenges the status-quo by testing and confirming best practices with actual data rather than anecdotal evidence.

And finally, Payment Reform is restructuring the way that doctors and insurance companies are paid to align the financial incentives in the medical industry with the needs of the patient, instead of the needs of the medical practitioners or insurance companies.

This sounds great, but the value is not in defining the areas that need reform, but in actually creating a clear path to get there.  There is a regulatory component to the PCMH that is administered by a non-profit organization called the National Committee for Quality Assurance (NCQA).

NCQA has established clear guidelines for any medical practice to qualify as a PCMH.  They’ve broken the guidelines down into 6 distinct Standards which each include between 2 and 7 individually scored elements and a single Must-Pass Element. The Must-Pass Elements are:

1) Access During Office Hours;
2) Use Data for Population Management;
3) Care Management;
4) Support Self-Care Process;
5) Referral Tracking and Follow-Up; and
6) Implement Continuous Quality Improvement.

These 6 Must-Pass Elements are things that any competent medical practice should already be doing.

Barely squeaking by on the 6 Must-Pass Elements will give a PCMH applicant a minimum score of 15 out of 100.  If they can cobble together another 20 points out of all of the other elements to get a score of 35 out of 100, they will qualify as a Level 1 PCMH.  Level 2 requires the 6 Must-Pass and a score of 60; Level 3 the 6 Must-Pass and a score of 85.  The value of this system is that the barriers to Level 1 PCMH qualification are truly minimal.  Most organizations should already meet Level 1 requirements, or should meet them with a very few enhancements to their practice. At the same time the Standards and Elements provide a clear road map to improve patient centered care and to eventually reach a Level 3 certification, which is much more comprehensive and difficult to achieve. A Level 3 PCMH is a truly exemplary practice in which Doctors, Staff, and Hospitals work together seamlessly to provide the best possible care to a very well-informed and participatory patient.

Why can’t the same concept work for legal?  As established in the last post, we have very similar problems, and very similar needs.  Of course the details are different, but we could easily have a non-profit regulatory organization that certifies law firms as Level 1, 2, or 3 Client Centered Legal Practices.

In the next installment, I’ll explore what a CCLP might look like.

PS. I’ve published a short post on this same topic at the Lexis Future of Law blog. (Not my title.)

Oh, Georgia, Georgia, Georgia. Really?? A Cease and Desist letter asking Carl Malamud to take down a copy of your state code?? Really??

If you haven’t read this latest act of attempting to control state statutes (and probably insure that that juicy little Lexis contract), take a look at the C&D Letter [PDF] dated July 25, 2013 that was written by Josh McKoon, Chairman of the Georgia Code Revision Commission and posted by Malamud on law.resources.org.

According to the letter, Malamud let the Georgia Assembly know back in May that he was going to post a copy of the Official Code of Georgia Annotated on his website, and sure enough, there it is “with no restrictions to its access.”

Of course, it is the “Annotated” part that seems to have made the Commission ink this C&D. Most likely because that part is claimed by Lexis. If you have ever spend five minutes in a room with Fastcase’s Ed Walters, you’ve undoubtedly heard his tales of how stingy Lexis is with the Georgia Code. It seems that the agents of the State of Georgia are very much in agreement with the idea that no one should have free access to this annotated material.

Fear not though! According to the letter, an unannotated version of the Georgia Code is available to the public for free at www.legis.ga.gov.

All kidding aside, I actually see why Lexis would claim a copyright to the Annotations… but why is the State of Georgia bringing the C&D letter? Do they actually have standing? (My Civil Procedure memory is a bit rusty.) Does the State have the copyright, or is it Lexis? I have always assumed Lexis owned that right. Maybe not??

I wonder if Georgia would allow Carl Malamud to place the unannotated version, or would that bring yet another C&D Letter? It will be interesting to see how this unfolds. Malamud is pretty feisty and doesn’t like it when states claim copyright on their statutes. It could make for an interesting legal battle.

Late last week, thanks to Reuters I learned that Mergermarket is up for auction. “British publisher Pearson put its Mergermarket news service on the block on Friday[July 26th] while insisting that it intends to hang on to the Financial Times newspaper, Reuters reported.”

Hearing that a beloved information and intelligence source is up for sale stimulates a whole series of questions for law firm intelligence and librarian types, such as:

  • Who will buy the service? Obvious choices come to mind like Thomson, Lexis or Bloomberg
  • Will (and how) customer service and support be affected?
  • Will this get rolled into some other bigger product that I will need to subscribe to for large sums of money to only use a portion of it?

Mergermarket is a good service for all sorts of intelligence projects and likely a profitable business which is why Pearson is looking to sell.  One can only hope that come what may for all of its users, that at least the deal will be reported on accurately.  

(This is part 1 of a 4 part series. You can download the entire series here.)

Like all good children living far from where they grew up, I try to call my parents at least once a week. I usually discuss family matters with my mother for a while, then she puts my father on and we talk shop. My father is the Medical Director for Quality Improvement Service at Nationwide Children’s Hospital in Columbus, Ohio. To all appearances, he and I could not be in more different lines of work, and yet, over the last few years, we have noticed that our conversations about the legal and medical businesses have overlapped a great deal.

I often drone on and on about this correlation with my fellow 3 Geeks, and they generally nod politely, give each other a knowing sideways glance, and order another round of beers.  Geek #1, Greg, recently tweaked my little pet topic by forwarding a tweet from fellow blogger, and legal industry pundit, Jordan Furlong.

As usual, I mostly agree with Jordan. However, I want to make a distinction between the legal and healthcare systems and legal and healthcare businesses.  Both systems are unquestionably flawed, difficult to navigate, and in desperate need of reform. But the systems are merely the environments in which the businesses operate, not the businesses themselves.  Law firms and hospitals are like exotic fish in a dirty aquarium. While many hospitals have begun to take a scientific approach to changing the way they work in order to improve the functioning of their ecosystem, most law firms are comfortably swimming in their own filth and complaining about the view.

This is the point where many people pipe up and say, “Other than both being professional service providers, doctors and lawyers have nothing in common.” I will concede that the law and medicine are very different practices, but I think it’s a mistake to conclude from that that the businesses of law and medicine are so wildly different that one cannot learn anything from the other.

First, doctors and lawyers aren’t so different. They are both highly educated professionals that use impenetrable language to practice their generally poorly understood “dark arts”, and are therefore simultaneously revered and despised by the general public. A lot of physicians bristle at the idea of performing “cookbook medicine”, while most attorneys can’t stand the thought of producing “commodity” legal work. Hospital medical staffs have historically been made up of solo and small private practice physicians, while most BigLaw firms are partnerships in name only and are more closely akin to solo practitioners sharing support staff and office space. Physicians are extremely intelligent and trained to look for problems; since they can imagine all of the difficulties down the road, they will often reject potentially innovative solutions out of hand. For many doctors, the patient relationship is proprietary, with some insisting that no one else should see or treat their patients, even at the expense of the patient’s own health. Physicians often fall prey to the circular logic that because they are successful, they must be doing things correctly, because they are successful, etc.  (I stopped with the analogous attorney behavior, but drop me a line if you don’t see the correlations.)

In addition to the personal similarities between physicians and attorneys, the businesses of law and medicine are both currently undergoing extreme changes caused by forces largely outside of their control. Jordan FurlongBruce MacEwen, and our own Toby Brown, among many others, have written extensively about the outside forces affecting firms – I won’t reiterate their points here – but many similar forces have been acting upon hospitals and doctors.  As recently as ten years ago, even if they were affiliated with a hospital, most physicians were self-employed or in private practice.  The rising cost of insurance, the needs to invest in technology (including Electronic Medical Records and complex billing systems), and new requirements to account for performance quality, have led many solo and small practice doctors to join large conglomerate medical groups or become full-time hospital medical staff.  Doctors are not “owners” of these companies in the same sense that law partners are “owners” of a firm, but the management of these newly affiliated, formerly autonomous actors is remarkably similar to that of a law firm.

While physicians and hospitals are fundamentally different entities than attorneys and firms, I believe the modern relationships, interactions, and struggles between Hospital, Doctor, and Patient are very analogous to those between Firm, Attorney, and Client. The medical profession is enduring its own New Normal and they are dealing with it very differently than we are. It would be well within character, but we would be sorely remiss if we were to ignore their activity, and fail to learn from their experiences, simply because they are not attorneys.

In tomorrow’s installment I will discuss one particular innovative concept in medical care that I believe we could and should adapt to the practice of law.

Image [cc] Marc Samsom

My recent post on the Price Point Law Firm generated a few interesting discussions. One included Kingsley Martin. Kingsley asked whether law firm work volume would go up if a firm lowered their rates (a.k.a. prices).

Poor Kingsley. This engaged my Economist Engine at Warp 10.

The “real” question is obviously about the price elasticity of legal services. For those smart enough to avoid taking Econ classes, price elasticity has to do with the expected change in sales volumes based on incremental changes in price. In price sensitive markets, prices can be very elastic, meaning that small changes in price can drive large changes in demand volume. The result of a price decrease would theoretically be both increased revenue and increased profit, especially in markets that require heavy capital investments. Although legal is currently experiencing price sensitivity, it does not require significant capital investments in equipment. Its investments are in variable costs – a.k.a. human capital.

In any event let’s examine Kingsley’s challenge. What if a firm lowered its rates? What should it expect? Coincidentally one of my former firms suggested just such a pricing tactic. And why not? If the market is angry about price, lowering price would be the best response. Right?

Although clients are concerned and focused on price these days, it is not their primary purchasing decision point. They ten to vet firms with expertise, then go to price. So any firm looking to profit from a price decrease would have to already be on numerous client short-lists. And even then, clients don’t exclusively decide on price.

So what is more likely is that a BigLaw firm that lowered its prices might see an incremental increase in volume of work. The challenge would come from the clients this approach would attract: Price Point Shoppers. These market segments are usually the most difficult to profit from, since they require similar cost inputs, with reduced revenue. So volume is necessary to generate sufficient profit. And the client’s loyalty is to price, so they are easily lost to other price point providers. If your firm was totally committed to commodity work, then you might consider such a pricing strategy.

So where would my Price Point Law Firm fit in the market? Likely this firm would take work from mid-level and regional firms first, eventually taking work from larger firms as its reputation grew. This firm’s value proposition is a national firm with local rates. It would have to earn its way up within the client work value chain. But it likely could succeed. (Think Target Stores, as they took out local stores and are now taking down Sears and KMart.) So its success is not based on price elasticity, but instead on market segmentation.

Getting back to Kingsley’s elasticity question – I refer to my recent article on the State of Legal Pricing. The punch line there is that the market is in chaos, craving a rational pricing mechanism at the fee level. Absent such a pricing mechanism, it is near impossible to determine price elasticity. So my economics counsel to firms would be to hold off on using price decreases to attempt to grow your market. Either that – or open up your own price pont firm.

Law Technology News (LTN) is reporting this morning that LexisNexis (LN) will be reducing their headcount by approximately 500 employees in various locations in the United States. You can read the item here.  LTN is reporting that the statement was issued by Marc Osborn, senior director of communications for its Research and Litigation Solutions unit.  LN had not responded to my request for more information at the time of this post.

I wonder if this due in part to the adoption rate of Lexis Advance not meeting expectations?  I’m not aware of solid data on this point but I do know that Lexis seems to be experiencing challenges similar to those experienced by Thomson Reuters with WestlawNext.  I have some thoughts on this but will leave that as a post for another day.

UPDATE:
I just received this response from Marc Osborn at LexisNexis in response to my queries:

LexisNexis continuously reviews its needs, operations and other factors to identify what resources and services are necessary to optimally support our customers and improve business operations. As a result of this ongoing process, we regularly build teams in certain areas of the business and reduce in others to be able to deliver next-generation solutions to customers.

UPDATE #2:

Reed Elsevier is the parent company of LexisNexis.  A cursory review of the Reed Elsevier Interim Results for 2Q 2013 indicates that revenue declined during the first 6 months of 2013. The transcript of the quarterly earnings call to analysts also referred to a decline in growth at the Earnings per Share (EPS) level.  Although it would be interesting to see the effect LexisNexis had on these numbers, it wasn’t available at this time.  Unfortunately, it is common for businesses to reduce expenses in order to increase (or prop up) EPS rather than find ways to address the decline in revenue.  This is a temporary solution at best.  Depending how this is done, this can result in the business being ill prepared to meet customer demands or to keep their products fresh and relevant.

Geek #1 had the opportunity of asking Casey Flaherty a question during a presentation recently. One of his takeaways is that clients still do not trust their outside law firms. After posting my recent piece on SOLP 2013, a thought clicked in my head. Consumers of any product will grow angry if they believe the providers are extracting profits at higher-than-market levels for any length of time.

Consider oil companies. During the mid 2000’s, the price of oil per barrel was jumping dramatically. There was much talk about what was driving this. Some claimed it was due to speculators. But the result was higher and higher prices at the pump. In a relatively short period of time gas prices increased by 50% and then stayed there. It was not long after that the Majors started announcing record profits. It was not long after that people started clamouring for Congressional investigations into price gouging and the like.

History is replete with examples of customers who react negatively when they think providers are using market power to raise prices and extract higher than normal profits.The Sherman Antitrust Act is the embodiment of this reaction.

I should point out that lawyers do not have a monopoly on legal services in the classical economics sense, since there is competition in the market from a large number of providers. However, there are definite restrictions on who can enter the market. These restrictions were placed as a protection on consumers, keeping them from receiving significant legal harm via untrained and incompetent providers.

At that top of the market (a.k.a. BigLaw) there has been a more restricted set of provider options for customers. I recall a consultant telling me as recently as 2008, that clients were afraid to ask for bigger discounts since their BigLaw providers might choose to not take their cases. Of course that has changed.

The real crux of this issue is that many clients perceive legal providers as engaging in price gouging. One can easily argue the market has been setting prices (via hourly rates), just like the case with the price of gasoline in 2007. Law firms have been behaving ‘rationally’ in an economic sense, as their price increases were accepted by the market.

The main difference between oil companies and law firms is that alternative legal providers are more readily available and more are emerging.

The old saying goes “Perception is Reality.” Therefore firms need to find a credible way of responding to this market influence. I’ve noted recent record profits from big banks. Back in 2008 these clients asked for their firms to work with them through the downturn by holding the line on rates. I wager that even with the market turnaround, they will not be going back to their firms with offers to raise prices and will continue their downward pressure on legal costs.

This is the market we now live in.

As the now infamous article, The Last Days of Big Law, from The New Republic was making the rounds on Monday, I got to thinking about just how dark the legal literature has become over the past year and its prediction of a business model on the verge of collapse.

“Doomed is the New Black” when reporting about how large law firms are doing. It definitely makes for interesting reading, but are all of these doom and gloom articles really saying anything new, or are the rehashing old arguments that have been around at least since the 1980’s on how large firms will eventually eat themselves and collapse under their own weight? Are the writers of these articles actually weighing the evidence and making a clear argument of why firms are specifically going to fail, or are they simply attempting to “one-up” the previous author of a “Why BigLaw Is Bound To Fail” article?

Now, don’t get me wrong. I love a good story of how awful the BigLaw life is just as much as the next person. When we have a chance, we discuss it here on 3 Geeks, too. (Preferably in verse) After all, the more dark and disturbing the image, the more readers we seemed to get that day. It is a definite tactic. But there are times when you read something that falls into that “too good (or bad) to be true” category and you have to call “BS”. I think that Slate author, Mark Obbie, yelled “BS” on the New Republic article in his The Fascinating Vampire Squids of Law article he posted this morning. Unfortunately, this type of article that points out that, while BigLaw’s business model is still highly flawed, it is still chugging along (profitably at that!), just doesn’t have the sex appeal that the “BigLaw is Doomed, Doomed, I Tell You!!” articles. Don’t believe me… scroll down to the comments and see how everyone is saying Obbie’s interpretation is wrong and that BigLaw is collapsing any day now.

  • Is BigLaw flawed? Yes.
  • Is BigLaw’s current business model out of sync with today’s economy and client expectations? Yes.
  • Will there be more BigLaw collapses in the next year? Maybe, but probably not.
  • Will BigLaw Profits Per Partner increase this year in most firms? Probably.
  • Are Clients frustrated at BigLaw? Yes/Kinda/Maybe (It’s a lot like Congress… we hate Congress, but we still go back to the old standby during the election.)

I am in no way defending BigLaw. There is a strong need for some of the business methods to change, and change quickly. Having alternatives to the Billable Hour (when appropriate) is something we promote almost on a daily basis. Project Management, streamlining processes, and better communications with Clients is something that is severely lacking in the industry. BigLaw is glacially slow in adopting these processes, and is way too focused on their PPP rankings. However, as much as you may not like to admit it, firms tend to work their way out of the situations that many of us think will cause them to collapse. Is it luck? Is it skill? Is it timing? Who knows. Somehow we put firms on a Deathwatch, and it just rarely ever comes to fruition.

I think that my fellow geek, Toby Brown, has his finger on why it is that firms aren’t collapsing left and right. In his Death by a Thousand Cuts post, Brown points out that most firms are extremely conservative with cash (since 2008); firms are like sheep that move with the herd rather than attempt to become innovative, and; firms will be quicker to right-size and shrink in attorney ranks than they were in the past. If pressed, I think most Partners will admit that they never thought they’d make the kind of money that are currently making when the left law school. There is still greed in the industry, but greed at the expense of causing a firm to collapse isn’t as strong as it once was.

When markets flatten, firms will take actions to ride out the wave. Some firms will grow, some will shrink, some will merge, and, over time, some will probably fail. Twenty years from now, we will probably still see articles come out each year claiming that BigLaw is too big and will collapse under its own weight, and the cycle will continue.

[Note: After consulting with my editor*, Jason Wilson, I decided to change the title from “BigLaw is Doomed!! Doomed, I Tell You!!” (Still…) to the title of the Meme]

*he isn’t really my editor… my posts would be much better if he actually were.

Image [cc] juhansonin

Dan: Recent reports of BigLaw staff firings got me thinking.

Jane: I hope you weren’t driving at the time.

Dan: Anyways … I came up with a brilliant idea for how law firms can reduce their cost structures. Everyone is always bitching (your specialty Jane) about how the cost structure of large firms is out of whack.

Jane: “Out of whack.” Is that a technical term?

Dan: Shut up you ignorant trollop. Back to my brilliant epiphany: Large law firms should randomly fire one-third of their administrative staff. Bingo – major cost savings.

Jane: Let me make sure I have this right. You actually were thinking, and this idea just came to you? Are you serious. Do you think most law firm administrative staff just sit around chatting? They were all hired for a reason.

Dan: Stifle your trap long enough to hear me out. I know some of these people might perform valuable functions, but it’s difficult-to-impossible to know which ones. The random firings will quickly determine which non-lawyers were valuable and which … weren’t. Firms can always hire back the ones they really need, since most of them will have a hard time finding jobs in this legal market. Problem solved!

Jane: That is wrong on so many levels. As usual, I struggle where to start in describing your idiocy. Let’s start with the practical and where the money is. If you fire the Billing people, no bills will go out and money will stop coming in. If you fire the Benefits people, your health insurance will be canceled since the bills won’t be paid. Shall I go on?

Dan: OK – the plan may have a few glitches. We’ll make sure to keep those two people. Or … wait for it … we’ll outsource their functions. Everyone knows outsourcing saves money.

Jane: It’s ironic how luddites like you fear the commoditization of law, but then jump whole-hog (pun intended you bloated bag of gas) into the commoditization of everything else about law firms. Apparently everyone, except lawyers, are fungible. Your arrogance blinds you to the fact that there are other professionals with valuable skills. As usual, you probably assume lawyers will be better at everything, so they can take over tasks when the admin staff is gone. I suppose your clients will be happy paying an associate to update your web site?

Dan: Trust me, there will be a significant number that won’t be missed, probably in IT and Marketing. So when the dust settles, the cost structure will be “fixed.”

Jane:  The real solution would be getting you “fixed.” Tell me you haven’t procreated.