(With sincere apologies to Sam Beckett.)

Deweygon, sitting on
a first year associate, is trying to write off his client’s bills.  He crosses out and uncrosses out. 
He gives up,
exhausted, rests, and prints out another copy. 
As before. 
File:Waiting for Godot in Doon School.jpg
Image [CC] – Merlaysamuel
Enter Howreymir.
Deweygon:  (Giving
up again)
Nothing to be done.
Howreymir: I’m
beginning to come round to that opinion. 
Deweygon: Ah,
so there you are again. I thought you had gone forever.
Howreymir: I
may have.
Deweygon: As
long as you’re here, you can help me with this. 
(writing again) More partners…
equals more hours… (with rising
intensity)
equals greater revenue …
Howreymir: Equals
less profit. 
Deweygon: (sinking, resigned) Equals less profit.
Every time, the same result. When will they get here!?
Howreymir: Today.
I feel it.
Deweygon: You
said that yesterday.
Howreymir: But
today, I am sure.
Deweygon: And
if you are wrong?
Howreymir: Then
tomorrow, or next week perhaps.
Deweygon: And
what shall we do until then?
Howreymir: We
could fire associates… or IT staff.
Deweygon: Or we
could make them partners and use their “buy-in” as cash to keep us going until
they arrive.
(The first-year associate,
still under Deweygon, begins nodding his head vigorously, wagging his rear, panting
like a dog, and pulling wads of cash from his pockets. Howreymir casually picks
up the money and pockets it himself.)
Howreymir: No.
That will not keep us.
Deweygon: For a
while, perhaps?
Howreymir: No.
(The first year
sticks out his lower lip in an exaggerated pout, lowers his head, and begins to
sob silently.)
Deweygon: Then
we are doomed?
Howreymir: They
will come.  They have the answers.
Deweygon: But
until they get here!?
Howreymir: We keep
hitting our hours.
Deweygon:  I have hit 52 hours in the last 2 days!
Howreymir:  But we have no clients to bill.
Deweygon:  No clients.
Howreymir: We
could get some.
Deweygon: We
should wait and see what they say first.
Howreymir:  Who?
Deweygon: Martin
Luther LLP
Howreymir:  Good idea.  They will show us what we need to change.
Deweygon: They
have the answers. They know how to do things.
Howreymir: What
if they don’t?
Deweygon: What
do you mean?
Howreymir: What
if they think we know how to do things?
Deweygon: Maybe
we should fix things now before they come, so that we can help them when they
get here?
Howreymir: We
could probably improve our processes.
Deweygon: We
could certainly improve our efficiency.
Howreymir:  We could definitely improve our technology.
Deweygon: That
will cost money.
Howreymir: They
are bringing the money.
Deweygon:  Unless they don’t have that either.
Howreymir:  You think they don’t have money?
Deweygon: They
approached us. If they have so much money and so many clients, then why would
they come to us.
Howreymir: We
have prestige.
Deweygon: We
are prestigious. And great lawyers.
Howreymir: Truly
great.
Deweygon:  The best of the best!
Howreymir: The
top-tier of the top-tier!
Deweygon:  The last of the white shoes.
(Both look down and
notice they are wearing brown and black shoes. A noise off stage.)
Howreymir: What
was that?
Deweygon:  It’s them, they’re coming!
Howreymir: Can
you see them?  Do they have money? Or clients?
(Both look intently
off stage for a long moment.)
Deweygon: I don’t
see them.
Howreymir:  It was the wind.  But they will come. Today.
Deweygon: Or
tomorrow.  And they’ll know what to do.
Howreymir: In
the meantime, there is nothing to be done.
Deweygon: No. Nothing
at all.
(Fade to black)

What started as a modest group of pricing people 2 years ago (I believe it was five of us) has grown now to about 200 people. The group is now comprised of pricing and project management people with a wide variety of titles and roles. Some in the group are strictly in these roles. Others have dual roles, such as CFO and pricing.

When we started this group we outlined three primary goals. #1 is professional development. Most programs on pricing, alternative fees or project management are basic and directed at just getting people to embrace the ideas (and are usually taught by people from this group). So finding opportunities to extend our own knowledge is quite limited. The second goal is developing a knowledge-base of best practices. And the third goal is driving the development of products and services that meet are ever changing needs.

In order to meet these goals we decided to create a conference built around them. The result is the upcoming P3 Conference. P3 stands for Pricing, Practice Innovation and Project Management. The conference is being held in Chicago (to make it relatively easily reachable) on September 30th – October 2nd. The sessions will include the best in the world from law firms and in-house legal departments. The programs will include roundtable discussions, with experts discussing how they tackle problems, debating various approaches and methods. The content will be decidedly advanced. No one will be trying to convince people pricing and project management are good ideas. Instead we will be discussing in-the-trenches experiences and lessons learned. This is all directed at meeting goal #1.

Additionally we will have directed feedback sessions involving companies that are providing and developing cutting edge tools and services. These sessions will explore product offerings with an eye towards what is in development. Attendees will give their feedback on what they like and what they need. These sessions are focused on Goal #3.

The programs on Oct 2nd will cover a variety of topics, including numerous best practices – meeting Goal #2.

So … if you are involved in pricing, practice innovation or project management at your firm or in-house legal department, or if you just want to hear from the best in the industry on these topics, you will want to attend this conference. It will be a unique experience sharing some valuable ideas among some really great people.

I will add – registration is limited. This is not your usual marketing ploy to fill up seats. Given the relatively short notice for a conference and the desire to hold it in this time frame, we ended up with limited space. We plan to correct that for next year, however, this year space actually is limited. So if you want to attend, I highly recommend you register early.

I look forward to seeing many of our readers there.

PS: I would be remiss in not mentioning the support of the LMA in driving this conference. As noted above, this is being done on short notice, but the LMA Team is working hard to make this happen and they are doing it in style.

PPS: I would also be remiss in not thanking those on the Planning Committee: John Strange at Vinson & Elkins is the Chair. Kristina Lambright at Akin Gump, Purvi Sanghvi at Patterson Belknap and Tim Corcoran the President-Elect of LMA and consultant with Corcoran Consulting Group.

What is your reaction to that title?

Most lawyers will probably turn their noses up at this. Since law is a reputation-based business, who in their right mind would want their reputation associated with being cheap?

Many clients will likely be quite interested in this concept. Not that all of their work will ever go to a price point firm, but currently their work that is more driven by price has few, if any, law firm provider options. So client ears will perk up when hearing this firm mentioned.

What would this Price Point Law Firm look like?

I propose a firm that strongly differentiates as a price point alternative. For hourly deals they might have some maximum rate, say $350. For other pricing options, they would provide very competitive bids.The focus of this firm would be on 2nd and 3rd Tier legal needs, also known as the high volume aspect of legal services.They could easily serve everything from very large companies, down to small businesses. This would mean they would have an extremely large market to attack.

Of course this Price Point Law Firm would structure itself such that it could profitably serve such a market. Given the over abundance of legal talent available in the market, finding suitable lawyers should be relatively simple. Their starting pay could be kept reasonable – say $40k to start. With their starting rates at $150-200 and only a billable base requirement of 1500 hours, they would be quite profitable for the firm.

Our Firm will spend more money on professional development for these lawyers than traditional firms. And by professional development, I mean actual skills training, with management oversight and hard goals. This also means our lawyers will have well-defined career paths, especially ones that do not lead to owner positions, since most people are not suited for or even desire that level of responsibility and stress.

The Firm will have extremely strong leverage, meaning you do not become a partner unless you want to act like an owner. How does an owner act? They drive business, over performing client work. We won’t expect our front-line workers to be sales people, and we won’t expect our owners to be front-line workers. A recent conversation with a “partner” in a non-law professional services organization told me his annual billable expectation is about 400 hours. His biggest expectation is bringing in business. Our Firm owners will be compensated based on similar factors, versus how many worker hours they bill.

In this scenario, the owners of this firm will easily enjoy profits at or perhaps above what BigLaw partners currently make.

So why isn’t anyone creating a Price Point Firm? From an economics perspective, it is absolutely crazy (or more appropriately – stupid) that no one is. The market is screaming for such a provider. The sad truth is that too many lawyers have become so internally focused that the screams of their clients are not being heard. True – many firms are providing bigger discounts to clients, which is responding at some level. But clients are literally begging for quality legal work at reasonable prices. Absent the LPOs and a few niche firms, no one is listening.

Do I hear opportunity knocking …?

.

While I was in Seattle at the 2013 AALL Conference, I had a chance to listen to, and briefly talk to Casey Flaherty of Kia Motors America, Inc. As many of you have read recently, Casey is making waves by giving his outside counsel some basic skills tests on how long it takes them to update contract language via MS Word, print to Adobe Acrobat, and resorting MS Excel lists. His testing of ten outside law firms associates (9 total firms and 1 took it twice) came back with all ten failing his technology competency audit.

He gives one example in most of his talks where an additional indented sentence is added into a contract. He shows the crowd what should take about 12 seconds to do (if the attorney is tech savvy and understands form automation tools), usually takes about 10 minutes for most attorneys to complete because they are manually updating paragraph numbers and reformatting the document piece by piece.

Now, the question I presented to him was this:

Why should the associate be the one doing the word processing updates in the first place?
Shouldn’t those tasks be assigned to Secretaries or WP Staff members who:
1. know how to use the resources effectively and
2. are either billed at a much lower rate or aren’t billed at all?

His answer was a bit simplistic, but typical of today’s corporate counsel expectations (I am completely paraphrasing his response):

Technology is so entrenched in the day to day operations of the associate, that it is expected that they have (or should have) the skills to complete these simple tasks so quickly that it doesn’t make sense to outsource it to a secretary or Word Processing Department.

Implied in that paraphrased answer was the idea that even if it went to WP, the lawyer would still review it (and charge for his or her time), so why add in an extra layer of work to do such a simple task that the lawyer should know how to do already.

Here’s a couple of observations that I walked away from Flaherty’s talk:

  1. Flaherty is either going to be a hero or a goat for discussing this and calling out his outside counsel for having such poor tech skills, and that his ‘tech audit’ is simply the beginning (he is also asking for access to daily time entry by firms so he can find associates that are billing .3 hours to 10 different matters each day, or those that enter time in weeks after the work was actually performed.)
  2. The basic message that Flaherty is giving is that:
    a. Corporate Counsel simply have lost trust in the firms they hire (this is the biggie!!)
    b. Poor skills equal higher costs billed to the clients
    c. Firms that bill by the hour have no incentive to improve these skills
    d. Clients will need to be the drivers to improve the skills required of their outside counsel
    e. Clients will either need to negotiate alternative fee arrangements with outside counsel, or
    f. Clients will need to assess skills and decrease fees for those firms that fail these skill tests
    g. Clients will need to monitor firms more closely, and even require firms to disclose processes used (such as up-to-the-day time entry exposure on all of the client’s work) and force changes that are deemed, by the client, to be inefficient.
  3. There are ‘opportunities’ for firms as well:
    a. Firms that work on tech skills and pass the audit can use that PR to use as an advantage over other firms
    b. Firms willing to take the temperature of their clients on what technology skills they want their outside counsel to have can use this a leverage within the firm to improve the skills that are important to the client
    c. Firms that have internal discussion can motivate the law firm leadership (both on the Attorney side and on the Administrative side) to evaluate basic skills needed on products that attorneys use on behalf of the client. It could start by asking simple questions like:
    i. Can an attorney print from Word to PDF?
    ii. Can an attorney resort information in an Excel spreadsheet?

    iii. Can an attorney update a basic form using the automation resources found in MS Word?
    iv. Are there customized resources we have within the firm that already improve the time it takes attorneys to do basic tasks (and are we telling our clients about these resources?)
    v. Is our work flow set up to take advantage of the professional staff we have to either push these tasks to the appropriate level, or leverage the skills of the staff to train the attorneys on simple tasks that can save enormous amounts of time?

All in all, what Flaherty is doing is an attempt to dictate the minimum skill level that his outside counsel has and decrease the costs to his company by requiring those improved skills, or punishing firms when they lack those skills (usually through a flat across the board fee discount.)

It should be interesting to see how much more traction Flaherty gets, and how soon it will be before a third-party snatches him up and he becomes a consultant for other companies to improve tech skills for their outside counsel.

(This is part 4 of a 4 part series.  You can download the entire SOLP 2013 below.)

Image [CC] – Jeffness

The newer the legal pricing role, the more likely it is to be defensively motivated. By defensive, I mean the pricing role is narrowly focused on holding the line on profits. The more mature is the pricing role, the more likely it is focused on proactive business development efforts. But even in the most well established legal pricing roles, the offensive push is still very limited. My best guess is that 90+% of legal pricing professionals currently focus almost exclusively on the defensive side.

This is an indication that the legal pricing role, unlike pricing roles in other industries, has not yet matured to the point that it can focus on maximizing profit. Instead it is more about holding onto market share and hopefully holding onto some reasonable level of profit margin.

For firms that are just now contemplating whether or not to create a pricing role, consider this: Your firm is competing in the same market with firms who already have this role. If you do not have someone in this role, your partners are probably agreeing to whatever pricing option clients request in order to hold on to the work. If, as is also likely, your firm still has a compensation scheme for partners based on their hours billed and revenue realized, then you are actively rewarding your partners for new work, regardless of the profitability of that work. In effect, you may very likely be  rewarding your partners for losing money.

This caution highlights the most important function of a pricing role, that of developing a rational pricing strategy. Even a firm with an exclusively defensive pricing approach, is at least facing the challenge. Given the chaotic nature of legal pricing, a first level goal needs to be developing knowledge about a firm’s current pricing world. This means capturing pricing deals as they occur and monitoring them over time. Without this basic knowledge, firms will not learn and improve their pricing strategies over time. Or as I like to say: The hole will only get deeper.

Conclusions

A small group of legal pricing people got together in late-2011 to establish professional development and networking opportunities. By May 2012, there were 12 people in that group. More than a year later, that number has surpassed 200. The rapid growth of this pricing group is evidence that pricing will be an ongoing function at law firms for the foreseeable future. The members of this group reflect the state of legal pricing at the personnel level. The roles for each person vary greatly in their focus and some members, including a number of CFOs, only perform pricing functions as a subset of their duties. Despite such wide variability in the role, we have reached a point where a large firm without a pricing role of any kind is clearly out-of-step with the rest of market.

In addition to law firm pricing personnel, this group also includes a number of people who work in client legal departments. This reflects the growing need for both sellers and buyers to understand legal pricing. Active client participation in this process is a key requirement if we ever hope to be able to better align legal service value with price.

While the current state of legal pricing is definitely chaotic, chaos  is either a trial to be endured and overcome by individuals, or an opportunity for a community to rebuild their world as it should be. I choose to believe the latter and I hope this paper might be the first step toward understanding and eventually taming the chaos of legal pricing.

(This is part 3 of a 4 part series.  You can download the entire SOLP 2013 here.)

For the last fifty or sixty years, law firms have used the infamous hourly billing rate pricing model almost exclusively. More importantly, during this era they had the luxury of constantly raising prices under growing demand. This meant their revenue was easily outpacing their expenses, leading to a great run of higher and higher profits. The result was a profit maximizing outcome, albeit, without requiring much of a pricing strategy.

With the economic downturn in 2008, clients started pushing back on price increases, leading firms to explore other options for maintaining their bottom lines. Having had such a great run prior to this, many law firm owners (we’ll use the common term “partner” here) are not well versed on how their firms actually generate profit. In response, firms are finding it necessary to educate partners on what exactly makes their work profitable.

The result of these efforts is a core re-examination of how work is done within a firm, or more directly – who is actually doing the work. The punch-line for partners is “The more workers work, the more owners profit.” For an economist, or for pretty much any other business person, this statement is a truism. To paraphrase Karl Marx, the owners benefit ”by sweat of the workers’ brow”. Yet law firm partners often struggle with this concept. Since partner billing rates are higher, it seems logical that revenue from partner time is more profitable than revenue billed by associate employees charging lower rates. This is a logical fallacy. Partner rates may generate more revenue, but the cost of that revenue in partner time is so high that the profit margin is much lower or likely negative. It seems like a paradox, but fewer billable partner hours per matter translate to higher partner profits.

This highlights a tension within and challenge for law firms. As they embrace more sophisticated pricing approaches, they will also need to adjust their compensation systems to reward profit maximizing behaviors. In the old model of regular price increases and constantly rising demand, partners were rewarded on hours and revenue. But in this new reality our compensation schemes must instead shift to rewarding revenue and profitability.

The Pricing Professional Role

It is not surprising that firms faced with this new economic reality, would seek professional pricing guidance, but there is a very broad range of pricing professionals across the sector. Some firms have entire dedicated staffs with broad ranging roles, while other firms are just beginning to consider creating such a function. Naturally, AmLaw 100 firms, with the most clients and the largest profits at stake, are the most likely firms to have a “pricing” role, but even at that level, such a role is not ubiquitous. Moving down market, the pricing role disappears relatively quickly. There are some pricing professionals in the AmLaw 200 layer, however, here pricing is typically done by people who have other primary roles, often times an Executive Director, a Chief Financial Officer, or in some cases, even a partner.

There is not even consensus on which department this pricing role belongs in.. In some firms it is marketing, in others it might be finance. Personally, I have performed this role in three different firms and in four different departments. Part of the challenge is that the role does not neatly fit within current law firm organizational structures and, as highlighted by the range of functions below, the role obviously utilizes resources across many different departments. In its highest form, the role needs to be client-facing – since pricing is one of the Four Ps of Marketing – and have direct access to the highest levels of firm leadership –  since the role is fundamental to the economic health of the firm.

To illustrate the chaotic nature of the pricing role itself, it may be worthwhile to explore each of these functions in greater detail. Some pricing roles may span across all of these functions, while many are responsible for only one or two.

Client Fee Discussions and Negotiations: This function includes talking directly with clients about fees and pricing options. The initial goal is to ascertain a client’s specific concerns related to fees, so that best-fit pricing options can be developed. Later in the lifecycle, these conversations can be negotiations over fee amounts. Finally, these discussions should be on-going over the course of a matter or the lifetime of a client relationship, to make sure pricing remains aligned with the client’s needs and consistent with their perception of value.

Partner Coaching: Many lawyers prefer to avoid fee conversations all together, but as the strongest point of connection with the client is often the relationship with the partner, it is usually beneficial to keep the partner involved in the discussion of fees. Most partners will benefit from and appreciate coaching on how to approach the subject of fees with clients. This effort usually involves giving general fee conversation guidelines and, when appropriate, specific advice on how to get a client to share their fee concerns. Another basic skill lawyers often need help with is, somewhat ironically, negotiating fees. Too often a lawyer will just accept a client’s price request, when an alternative proposal might lead to better results for the client and a better deal for the firm.

Budget Building: Many pricing situations require some type of a budget. Budget building can take many forms, depending on the demands of a client and the necessary level of precision. Many times lawyers like to utilize past matters as budget templates or even to develop templates for ongoing use. As might be expected, project scoping efforts come into play here as well. From experience, budget building is more often a high-level effort, only going into task-level details as needed.

Pricing Development: With knowledge of a client’s fee needs and with a general budget developed, then various pricing options can be determined. The typical drivers for any option are: cost savings, predictability (i.e. over a given time period), certainty (e.g. for a matter or group of matters), or even risk-sharing, where a firm takes on some level of fee risk as part of the arrangement. This function can many times be more art than science. This is where the pricing role benefits from creativity.

Profit and Scenario Modeling: With a pricing option in place, or as part of that effort, matter staffing needs to be determined. With a known breakdown for how a deal will be handled and managed, it can then be modeled for profitability. At this point various scenarios can be modeled to see how profit can be maximized for a given piece of work.

Monitoring: Once a pricing deal is in place, monitoring is the function that keeps the lawyers updated on the financial status of the deal. This includes providing the partners with regular updates for performance-to-budget numbers and other metrics.

The Rest – Process mapping, process improvement, project management & practice innovation: Many legal pricing people are being drawn into various practice re-engineering roles. Market pricing pressures are driving lawyers to modify how they deliver services. Lawyers are asking their pricing people for help in this effort, often because we are the ones that got them into the situation in the first place. In the long-run these needs may drive the creation of separate and more focused roles. In the short-run, I expect to see more pricing people pulled in this direction.

The wide range of pricing functions within firms and the wide range of adoption of pricing roles by firms, throws the law firm side of the market into as much, if not more, chaos than the client side. A very uneven playing field means it is hard for the players, both inside firms and out, to understand the game. Players attempting to function rationally are confronted with others playing wildly out of control and the result is extremely irrational pricing behavior by law firms.


(This is part 2 of a 4 part series.  You can download the entire SOLP 2013 here.)

In-house legal departments are now facing the same cost savings pressures as other corporate departments. In the past “legal” was able to largely avoid this conversation with leadership. They would dodge the question by insisting that they could not predict the number of lawsuits or deals they would have and therefore could not provide an estimate of legal fees. After all, without this base-line budget, how could they possibly reduce it? Consequently, outside firms were long spared the indignity of managing costs, and the cognitive strain of lowering rates.

During the economic downturn of 2008, when leadership broached the subject, they no longer accepted the standard answer. One CEO commented that “the legal department was the last bastion of cost savings” for the company. The issue was not the amount of legal work, but instead the cost of it. Now the General Counsel (GC) has to toe the same line as every other department head; minimize the costs and increase the productivity.

Discounts

The first and most obvious line of attack for in-house legal departments to reduce legal spend was to request discounts. In recent years, many have significantly increased pressure on their outside firms for larger and larger discounts. As one lawyer commented in 2010, “15 is the new 10” as in a 15% discount off of standard rates. (I have heard that some GCs even attend conferences and write the level of discount they are getting on their name tags for all to see; a spontaneous market level reaction to the lack of clear pricing across the sector.) Another type of discount is the rate freeze. As firms make their annual move to raise rates, many GCs are asking for, or in some cases demanding, they stay the same.  Discounts and freezes are an easy and quantifiable way for GCs to demonstrate the appearance of savings to corporate management.

Distrust

Another market level reaction (in addition to the Conference Name Tag Exchange) is a general and growing distrust of outside firms’ billing practices. As budgetary pressures mounted, clients began focusing on very specific aspects of legal pricing that they deemed “abusive.” One easy target was billings from first-year associates. A number of clients viewed this as training; something for which they believed they should not have to pay.. In many cases, the backlash against paying for first-year hours may stem from the public awareness of young lawyers’ salaries thanks to the lock-step increases across the industry. At $160,000, first-year associates often make higher salaries straight out of school than many senior in-house attorneys, plus they get additional bonuses for billing lots and lots of hours, which only adds insult to injury. Unsurprisingly, first-year associates have become a lightning rod for client anger and distrust.

AFAs and RFPs, PDQ

Some clients have continued experimenting with Alternative Fee Arrangements (AFAs) and have expanded their use of Requests for Proposals (RFPs) in securing legal work. Here they often ask for fixed fee proposals in order to compare pricing between competing firms. This effort has led to market drops at the fee level for certain types of legal work, such as patent litigation, where fixed fees, or fixed fees per phase – and in some cases fee caps (hourly billing with a ‘not to exceed’ amount) – have been more widely adopted. However, since in-house legal departments have never before faced the challenge of defining the scope of a matter, many RFPs lack a useful scope. Consequently, too many RFPs are vaguely worded or provide outdated metrics with an eye towards getting competitive bids from various firms. Many firms struggle to give coherent responses to these RFP questions and too often this results in completely incomparable bids to the same RFP. One large client confided in me that they have never awarded work under their RFP, because they had no clear way of choosing the lowest cost or best value firms.

Of course, these examples are from the more savvy clients. If you look at the broader market, you will find a very wide range of adoption levels. Some clients are simply implementing the suggestions they have read in the latest magazine article (e.g. “Ask for a fixed fee!”). Others have entire teams and large scale efforts focused on overall savings (e.g. Pfizer Legal Alliance). While some have not yet even begun asking for discounts.

Procurement

As in-house legal departments struggle to understand their legal spend and attempt to bring it under control, the corporate procurement department has increasingly been present in legal pricing discussions. Procurement often gets involved at the request of the legal department , but occasionally at corporate leadership’s insistence. In the long run, this effort should produce measurable results, however, there are numerous challenges facing procurement when evaluating legal services.

Procurement typically assesses current costs of a product or service on a per unit basis, and then works to lower that per unit cost. As I have already established, the legal market does not currently have a mechanism to set these prices, nor does it have a clear understanding of the “unit” for sale. This leads procurement to measure billing rates as the per unit cost of legal services, which may result in lower rates, but may or may not actually save the client money. And just as importantly, the risk factors of going to lower cost providers are not always factored into the equation. To procurement, a lawyer is a lawyer, much like a widget is a widget. Many procurement departments seem to be advancing to a better understanding of legal services, but it is going to be some time before these efforts play out. Absent market pricing mechanisms at the fee level, procurement will continue to struggle to find cost savings and then attain them.

One GC for a food services company commented that he was holding procurement at bay, since they may be good at reducing costs, but they do not live with the consequences. The point here is that procurement may have value, but the current level of chaos in the legal pricing market makes it hard to achieve that value.

Data Analytics

What most clients ultimately want to know is that a patent litigation will cost $X through the Markman hearing or that an acquisition will cost $Y for Due Diligence, and $Z to close the deal. But an acquisition service may have a price range of $10,000 to $10,000,000 – from experience, that type of fee range is not an exaggeration – and what drives the range is a combination of scope, size and client goals related to the deal. For the reasons outlined above, it may be impossible for a market to ever establish a fair price within that environment.

A lack of clear or consistent market pricing information has led many clients to begin looking for pricing information elsewhere. Many have started looking to e-billing vendors to use their billing data to determine a market price for a given service. The CT Tymetrix Real Rate Report is one example. Tymetrix has, by their own account, about 42 billion dollars in legal spend logged down the to time entry level. Services like this are attempting to analyze their data to determine average rates for categories of timekeepers, variances in rates by location, variances in rates by type of work, and fees per type of work.

I would caution both firms and clients to use this type of data very thoughtfully. This is not “market data” in the classical economics sense. It is pulled from relatively small samples with known and unknown biases. Relying exclusively on this data as a market mechanism to establish pricing would be unwise. However, this data might, on some level, give a sense of current legal prices, and more importantly, it may reveal how work is managed within firms. As clients are trying to lower legal costs, and firms are trying to keep clients happy, the real trick will be more cost-conscious management of legal work. This kind of data may provide real insights into how work is staffed and where efficiencies can be realized.

In summary, the client-side of the market is flailing about, grasping for ideas, latching on to any data they can find, and hoping for some level of rationality to emerge. But they are not the only players creating chaos while hoping for some sense of calm.


(This is part 1 of a 4 part series.  You can download the entire SOLP 2013 here.)

Friends, Romans, Countrymen! (8423468943)
IMage [CC] –  Frank Kovalchek   

Partners, Executives, CFOs, CIOs, CPOs, Marketers, and Legal Pricing Aficionados of all types, titles, and roles, I have come to report that the current state of legal pricing is absolutely chaotic.

There are three methods of dealing with a chaotic situation. First, the completely rational approach is to dig a hole, climb inside, and wait for the noise overhead to subside before coming out. Personally, I fight the urge to do that on a regular basis. The second option is to lower your shoulder and plow into the fray, driving hard and hoping beyond hope that the chaos has another side upon which you might one day emerge. This is the approach most of us are now valiantly attempting. And finally, you can stop pushing and seek a higher vantage point from where you can watch the chaos unfolding below. From there you can study the movement of the mob and look for patterns, repetitions, possibilities, and opportunities.

This State of Legal Pricing is my first attempt to describe our current situation from that higher vantage point.  From this modest beginning, and with the help of my colleagues and the community at large, I hope we can begin to calm the chaos and create a rational market for legal services.

The Current Legal Market

The market has fortunately grown tired of the Alternative Fee Arrangement (AFA) buzz-phrase-term and has begun to more properly focus its attention on the broader function of pricing. Pricing as a profession has been around for some time now and generally refers to the task of determining best prices for products and services in order to maximize profits. It should be noted, especially for those in the legal space, that profit maximization is not focused on a single sale. Instead it is measured at the firm, client, or product offering level. So for this discussion about the legal market, we will presume that the legal pricing function serves at that broader level, where prices attract customers and support the business.

Every market craves rational pricing. That is to say pricing where the buyer has some understanding of the value associated with their needs or the goods they are purchasing, and the seller has an expected revenue for each type of good or service. Unfortunately, the extreme range of services provided by law firms and the dynamic nature of the legal market itself have worked against the establishment of rational pricing for legal services at a product level.

The dynamism in the legal market comes about for several reasons. First, in my experience, there are not a lot of truly comparative legal service offerings from firm to firm, or even from matter to matter within firms. Litigation in a given category has a broad range of service types and pricing levels. From the highly complex to the mundane, prices vary to a significant degree. While we may eventually see fee-level pricing appear at the more commodity level for certain kinds of offerings, even there, we may never see a transparent market pricing mechanism.

Secondly, we don’t sell widgets. While there is a push for task coding of time entries as an attempt to establish pricing data on a per task level, a client does not buy one deposition, two filings, and a side of legal research. They buy resolutions to disputes. Even if we were to offer a fee per task pricing option, clients rarely if ever make purchasing decisions at the task level.

Suppose, for example, we set a standard price of $25,000 per deposition. Then in the course of a matter, we determined that a CEO or CFO needed to be deposed. Such a deposition would very likely require much greater resources and attention than the deposition of a mid-level executive.  Should the firm honor their “standard deposition” rate for the deposition of a CEO and perform a lot of extra work for free? Should the firm differentiate low, medium, and high level deposition rates? We are now descending a slippery slope hoping for a rational stopping point.

Third, even if universal task codes were adopted across the industry, and were used effectively, the per task market price would still not be achieved without establishing much more detailed market information. As a market we haven’t even determined standard case types at this point. How much resource will we expend to agree upon task-level pricing for one sub-type? In the process, we may commit a significant amount of industry resource to develop a standard number that ultimately has no meaning within the specific confines of any specific case.

A rational market does not ascertain useless pricing data. It has no patience for that. So unless clients start buying depositions rather than resolutions, there will never be an incentive for the market to determine a price for depositions. Even if the market could determine such a price, it would only be for a certain level and type and would not be universally applicable. I just don’t see the market needing that level of detail in product pricing especially when it struggles to find reasonable pricing mechanisms for much higher product levels (e.g. – the matter level).

The most likely outcome of any overt attempt to create something like a legal pricing market is that rational pricing behaviors will only appear within tiny pockets of the market. To some degree, we can already see this beginning to happen at the far end of the commodity spectrum (e.g. patent prosecution). It is reasonable to expect that this commodity pricing will “evolve up” within certain market segments over time, but I question how far up it will or can go.

Given this challenging market environment, tomorrow we will turn to the behavior of the market participants driving such chaos.


Today’s Guest Blogger, Kristina Lambright, brings us a review and explanation of Jordan Furlong’s new book, Evolutionary Road. Kristina serves as the Manager of Strategic Pricing for Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld. Prior to that she was the Pricing Analyst for Vinson & Elkins. Kristina has a JD from South Texas College of Law and an MLIS from the University of North Texas. Welcome to 3 Geeks Kristina!

Evolution, by definition, is a process of continuous change from a lower, simpler, or worse to a higher, more complex or better state: growth.  Evolutionary Road is both a timeline and in-depth perspective of the legal marketplace which draws out an insightful explanation of its changing nature.

Legal industry forecaster Jordan Furlong has an exceptionally high accuracy rate in forecasting the direction and fate of the legal market. He is a prolific orator and author who has elicited respect and support from professionals in all areas of the legal industry. His new e-book Evolutionary Road provides both retrospective and prospective views into the legal marketplace as well as a practical strategic discussion guide.

Futurists and non-futurists who follow Jordan’s Law21 blog will recognize much of the content; however, Jordanites who wish to both drive change within their environments and effectively navigate the Evolutionary Road, will appreciate the compilation of historical observations, anticipated events and overall prognosis of the legal industry.

In his book, Furlong expounds the Stages of the legal market:

  • Stage 1: Closed market (pre-2008) – Lawyers run the show with no real competition or pressure to innovate; Legal knowledge & tools largely inaccessible without lawyer involvement
  • Stage 2: Breached Market (2008-2016) – Lawyers face increased competition & recognition of vulnerabilities; Declining demand for lawyers; Beginning of the end of the “BigLaw” business model
  • Stage 3: Fully Open Market (2016-2024) – Legal jobs disappear; Golden age of Legal technology; Legal knowledge & tools universally available
  • Stage 4: Expanding Market (2020-Future) – Emergence of a more dynamic legal market; Increase in range and depth of accessible legal work; Legal job growth; Collaboration between lawyers and non-lawyers; Transformation of legal education
  • Stage 5: Multidimensional Market (TBD) – Lateral thinking; Creative brainstorming; Lawyers reinvent themselves

Appreciation of each stage is essential to facilitate the change necessary for successful navigation of the legal market’s Evolutionary Road.

As opined many times and in multiple venues, the legal market has traditionally been slow to adopt new or advanced technologies, operational efficiencies, or structural changes as compared to other markets and business organizations.  Past, present and future market change and external forces have and will necessitate change (or evolution) and those that adapt will survive.  Those that choose to innovate will thrive.

Also addressed are all the areas of the legal landscape that have and will continue to impact participants striving to prosper in an evolving market.  Specific topics discussed include Law School practices, Market Competition (to include Legal Process Outsourcers and Alternative Business Structures), Pricing, Law Firms and Industry Regulation.

Other areas discussed include the battle for market share, availability of legal knowledge and tools and the reversal of growth in the legal profession.  Furlong coins new terms such as “the lost generation”, “non-school” legal education providers, mobile/virtual solo firms, streamline megafirms and super boutiques – all of which are born by a more complex market.

To this day, MANY naysayers truly believe, and boldly state, that the market will never change or change very little.  These naysayers are the MANY that experienced and enjoyed the “easy” money of the Closed Market (pre-2008) and have only been marginally affected by market pressures.  Those unwilling to embrace (or even entertain) the concept of change and evolution within the context of their own organizations, will undoubtedly become the next case study used to further support the argument that inability or unwillingness to adapt leads, ultimately, to extinction.

Some readers will classify Furlong’s latter stages as unfounded, grandiose and/or over-the-top.  And while Furlong prefers to be labeled a “legal market analyst”, he might have to concede that many of his forecasts in Evolutionary Road provide justification for branding him a “legal futurist.”

Evolutionary Road’s message is not all doom and gloom.  The future, according to Furlong, brings hope and optimism for legal professionals.  Many positives are revealed including one stunning prediction found in Stage 5 – LAWYERS are driving change – that profound prediction ALONE is enticing enough to add Evolutionary Road to your must read list.

Image [cc] –  顔なし 


Jane:  Have you noticed that this job has become more and more about the correct usage of IT approved technology?  I mean, years ago, I practiced law.  I worked with my clients to determine the best way to work together.  Now, I spend an inordinate amount of time trying to learn the tools that IT has decided will make my practice more productive.  Ironically, the more and “better” tech they add, the less productive I become.  Meanwhile, in my personal life I am using technology more than ever.  I don’t need training, and most of it actually makes me more productive. Paying bills has gone from an all-afternoon Saturday exercise to a 2 minutes on the bus thing. Keeping up with friends has gone from a series of weekly or monthly hour long calls to a couple of minutes each day on Facebook. Even doing my taxes, and planning meals have changed from all-consuming tiresome activities to near-afterthought minor annoyances.  All the while practicing law gets more and more complicated.

Dan:  OK. Here is where you say, you should just be allowed to use whatever technology you want to at work.

Jane:  Yes, as a matter of fact, it is.

Dan:  That is asinine.

Jane:  Why!?  Why should some committee of techies – most of whom don’t know their amicus curiae from a hole in the ground – decide what tools I should be required to use to practice law?

Dan:  Jane, they are nerds! They know technology.  They know what’s safe and efficient to use.  A competent IT department does their due diligence on every system, learns it inside and out, and makes sure it’s easy enough for even a tech-challenged attorney like you to use.

Jane:  That’s bull.  And to be clear, I have no problem with my IT people.  They are smart and diligent, but they don’t know the law, the business of law, or the practice of law.  How can they possibly determine what technology is going to be most efficient for the firm, let alone my practice?

Dan:  Would you rather decide what technology your firm uses?

Jane:  No.  But I would love to decide what I use.

Dan:  And who will support that technology when it doesn’t work as expected?

Jane:  They will.

Dan:  Do you know how many possible configurations and variations an IT department would have to support if everyone picked their own tools?

Jane: OK. I can see the need for some limits, but COME ON! Give me a little flexibility here!  If I want to bring in, at my own expense, my personal Mac Laptop, because… well… the damn thing works, then IT should be prepared to support it.  Also, I should never have to carry around both a clunky old Blackberry and my sexy Android phone because IT can’t figure out how to enable a secure connection on the modern device. Plus, if there is no known virus or security threat, I should be allowed to go to whatever websites I want. I am not a child, I have the self-restraint to avoid porn, scams, and excessive use of personal social media while at work.  The point is: I know what I do on a daily basis, and they don’t.

Dan:  And all of the attorneys in your firm are as knowledgeable, self-restrained, and tech-savvy as you?

Jane:  Not remotely.

Dan:  So when one of your moronic partners clicks on a phishing link that takes him to the seedy underbelly of the inter-webs on his personal, but firm-networked, laptop and contracts the digital equivalent of tertiary syphilis, bringing down your firm’s entire network for a week or more…

Jane:   Well…

Dan: Or when one finally gives in to the incessant whining of her 6 year old and lets him play Candy Crush on her semi-secured Android device that has direct access to all firm records and documents, and the kid decides to play “Hey, I wonder what this does?” instead…

Jane:  That’s not what I…

Dan:  Or when you, moderately intelligent and tech-savvy as you are, plug your camera into a photo store kiosk on vacation to print out a couple of snaps for grandma, then come home and plug the same camera into your firm notebook to upload a new wallpaper image, and unknowingly unleash the Trojan Horse that gives hackers on the other side of the world carte blanche access to all of the firm’s client information…

Jane: That’s not possible.

Dan: No, that’s statistically unlikely, but it is extremely possible.  Which would be more inconvenient: learning the firm’s approved technology to do your job safely, or looking for a new job when your firm has lost all of its clients due to a security breach that you unwittingly caused?

Jane:  Ummmm….

Dan:  I know what you’re thinking. “How statistically likely is that?” Well, to tell you the truth, I don’t really know. But being as such a thing would ruin your career, your clients’ business, and would probably blow your firm clean off the map, you’ve got to ask yourself one question: “Do I feel lucky?” … Well, do ya, punk?